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Fundamentals February 5, 2013


Nik's Diary
The Indian market opened in the red today, mirroring SGX Nifty which is trading lower by ~0.4%. Most of the Asian markets are trading in the negative zone with losses in the range of 0.1% to 1.6%.  US markets fell on Monday as traders booked profit post the impressive rally over the past few weeks. Dow Jones had closed above 14,000 for the first time since October 2007. Uncertainty about the political situation in Europe also weighed on stocks after opposition leaders called on Spanish Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy to resign amid allegations of corruption. European markets too fell on Monday due to concerns about the political situation in Spain and Italy. India’s Key benchmark indices closed lower on Monday for the third consecutive session in a row. The markets reversed intra-day gains in late trade as European stocks fell.


Nestle acquires minority stake in Indocon Agro and Allied Activities Private Limited 
FMCG major Nestle India on Monday said the company has inked a pact to acquire a 26% stake in Indocon Agro and Allied Activities Pvt Ltd. In a BSE filing, the company said it “has entered into an agreement for acquiring 26% minority stake in Indocon Agro and Allied Activities Pvt Ltd, engaged in milk collection business in western India”. "This business investment will contribute to creating shared value with farmers engaged in milk,” it added. The acquisition is subject to the parties fulfilling their respective obligations, the statement said. Apart from milk and yogurt, Nestle sells popular products like Maggi noodles, Nescafe and KitKat chocolates in India. The company has 7,000 employees in India and its products are sold in 40 lakh outlets across the country. Shares of Nestle India on Monday closed at Rs4,749 on the BSE, up 0.63% from their previous close. Source: Livemint

CG inks agreement with Transpower NZ Ltd 
Crompton Greaves (CG) has signed a long term supply relationship agreement with Transpower New Zealand, owners and operators of the New Zealand national grid. With this agreement, CG becomes the first of three preferred vendors to supply transformersto Transpower, with the potential to scale to orders worth USD 15 million annually. The transformers are being manufactured in CG's Jakarta, Indonesia facility. As utility companies turn to transformers that optimize the supply of electricity and improve energy efficiency, CG's state-of-the-art, smart grid-enabled transformers are helping them provide reliable power. A recognition of CG's operations in South-east Asia and Australasia and its expertise in transformer technology, this tie-up in New Zealand will boost the company's position in the region, especially in the promisingsmart grid technologies. Crompton Greaves, CEO and managing director Laurent Demortier said, ''I thank Transpower for the trust placed in CG's capabilities. The long-term agreement with Transpower is recognition of our long relationship with them. Our expansion to 500kVtransformers for large customers in SEA built a high degree of confidence with Transpower, and led to the inking of this agreement. This deal serves to strengthen CG's position and will help us win new orders in this emerging and fast-growing geography.'' The agreement will remain in force for five years with the possibility of two extensions of two years each. This award is the result of an intense collaboration between Transpower NZ and the CG team which have been successfully optimised for Transpower needs. Transpower's technical personnel and the CG team provided quality improvement direction to CG's Indonesia factory while working closely with CG's technical specialists to perfect transformers best-suited to serve New Zealand's requirements. Shares of the company gained Rs 1.4, or 1.32%, to trade at Rs 107.70. The total volume of shares traded was 127,333 at the BSE (12.17 p.m., Monday). Source: Myiris

Bank of Baroda RU3QFY2013
For 3QFY2013, Bank of Baroda reported subdued operating performance, as its operating income and operating profit declined by 3.2% and 13.5% yoy, respectively. Provisioning expenses for the bank increased by 22.6% yoy, on account of higher slippages during the quarter and hence earnings at PBT level declined by 30.9% yoy. The bank witnessed lower effective tax rate of 16.7% during the quarter compared to 26.6% in 3QFY2012, which limited the decline in net profit to 21.6% yoy. On the asset quality front, the bank witnessed sequentially deterioration, gross and Net NPA levels increased by 24.5% and 41.0% qoq, respectively, on an absolute basis. The management has guided for asset quality pressures to continue for next few quarters. Gross and Net NPA ratio came higher sequentially by 43bp and 30bp, respectively to 2.4% and 1.1%. The bank’s PCR dipped sequentially by 484bp to 70.9%. At the CMP, the stock is trading at valuations of 0.9x FY2014E ABV. Source: Angel Broking

United Spirits RU3QFY2013
United Spirits (USL) posted a 11.3% yoy growth in top-line to  `2,174cr. Overall volumes for the quarter rose by 7% yoy and stood at 32.58 million cases. The volume growth in the prestige and above segments stood at 29% yoy, indicating the company’s focus towards the premium segment. OPM for the quarter stood at 11.3% up 185bp on yoy basis. Bottom-line rose by 71.2% yoy to  `81cr. Source: Angel Broking

ITNL RU3QFY2013
For 3QFY2013, on a consolidated basis,  IL&FS Transportation Networks (ITNL) posted a strong performance at the top-line and EBITDAM fronts. However, higher interest cost and higher tax provision led to a subdued growth at the bottom-line level. The company reported consolidated revenue of  `1,764cr (`1,268cr) in 3QFY2013, registering a growth of 39.1% yoy, which was 12% higher than our estimate.  EBITDA margins declined sequentially by 754bp to 25.5% vs 25.3% in 3QFY2012, and against our estimate of 28%. This was mainly on account of higher revenue contribution from the relatively low-margin E&C segment during the quarter. ITNL’s interest cost grew by 53.3% yoy to `284cr in 3QFY2013 and was marginally above our estimate of  `280cr. On the earnings front, ITNL reported subdued growth of 18.5% yoy to `104cr (our estimate was of `108cr) on back of higher interest cost and tax (40%).Source: Angel Broking

Relaxo Footwear RU3QFY2013
Relaxo reported lower-than-expected numbers for 3QFY2013. The revenue for the quarter grew by 9.2% yoy and stood at  `223cr, lower than our expectation of `250cr. Operating margin for the quarter was flat yoy at 8.4%, however, it was lower than our expectation of 10.3%. Additionally, the operating margin contracted by 148bp on a qoq basis from 9.9% in 3QFY2013 on account of higher employee cost and other expenses (mainly advertisement expense) as a percentage of net sales. Subsequently, the profit for the quarter stood flat yoy at `6cr, which was 49.9% lower than our estimate of `15cr. However, we remain positive on the company with the growth triggers in place, which include – 1) capacity expansion plan, 2) store expansion, 3) improved sales mix and 4) brand revamping. At  `755, the stock is trading at 13.6x FY2014E earnings. Source: Angel Broking

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